Democrats lead in midterms, according to final F&M poll of campaign

Tony Romeo
November 01, 2018 - 4:30 am
Election Day is November 6.

© Paul Eggers/The News-Record & Sentinel

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HARRISBURG, Pa. (KYW Newsradio) — Democrats at the top of the Pennsylvania ticket continue to hold seemingly insurmountable leads in the final Franklin & Marshall College poll of the campaign. 

F&M Poll Director Terry Madonna said the nomination of Brett Kavanaugh to the Supreme Court has fired up Republicans and Democrats, and both bases are highly energized. The main difference is the significant registration edge held by Pennsylvania Democrats and the willingness of Republicans to split their tickets.

RELATED: F&M poll shows Wolf, Casey with huge leads

"That’s the whole question: Will they come back home ultimately when they walk into the voting booth?" said Madonna. "Will these Republicans who say they're going to split their ticket turn around and vote Republican?"

A change of heart by those GOP voters is the best hope for Scott Wagner, Madonna noted, who trails incumbent Democratic Gov. Tom Wolf by 26 percentage points — 59 to 33 — and Lou Barletta, who is 15 points behind incumbent Democratic U.S. Sen. Bob Casey — 50 to 35 percent — among likely voters.

Democrats also enjoy a 13-point lead among likely voters in the generic ballot for the U.S. House.